By Hank Weghorst July 9, 2010
A funny thing happened on the way to recovery.
Markets rise and fall and rise again. The global recession that we are finally shaking followed a familiar trend. 16 times since 1919, our economy has faced recession and experienced follow-on growth. From a peak of nearly 14000 in 2007, the Dow Jones retreated to nearly half its value in early 2009. Then, as sure as spring arrives; the markets began their march ahead – reaching 11,000 by mid-April 2010.

What exactly is a recession? According to my notes from Econ 101, it represents 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP. Our current recession technically started 3Q 2008, although experts point to the end of 2007 as the “real” start.
While this recession has lead to a malaise in the general economy, there is one group of firms that have bucked the trend: Companies that deliver value around the Social Web. Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, and Foursquare represent a new breed of service that were launched or grew through their formative stages during the downturn and have accelerated even faster as the recovery has evolved.
Lets look a little closer. Since March 13th 2009, barely a year ago, the market has increased by 53%.

Facebook, which launched in 2004 and reached critical mass during the slide, saw growth in unique visitors that virtually parallels that of the stock market’s recovery during that timeframe.

Foursquare, a social mobile application that tracks your “check-ins”, launched in early 2009 has grown dramatically with the recovery.

And Twitter, which launched in 2008, has grown at an almost identical rate to the Dow Jones Industrial Average over its life.

So what do these trends mean?
One of the key traits that these services have in common is that they are largely consumer focused. While consumer debt was piling up, jobs drying up, and the housing market cratered, consumers were turning in droves to the social web to keep them connected, entertained, and happy. Business to Consumer social technologies appear to be a leading indicator for recovery this time around.
It’s been long understood across those 16 recessions, that consumer sentiment drives recovery. Once consumers decide it is time to buy, business spending must pick up.
And so as social consumer applications have dominated the last few years, social business apps (apps leveraging the social concepts and constructs) may dominate the recovery. Perhaps we need to christen this recovery, the first “Social Recovery” in history.
For example, B2B social site LinkedIn saw hockey stick like growth in 2009 and this year as business networking and hiring picks up. Business collaboration tool Yammer has taken the Twitter business model to corporate messaging. And its still yet to be seen how salesforce.com Chatter will change the way we do business.
It appears that the most successful tools that drive reach and collaboration within the business ecosystem (customers, partners, vendors, competitors, prospects, clients etc) have a good shot of riding the recovery. I’m expecting established apps like LinkedIn, Yammer, Spiceworks and new apps like Salesforce.com’s “Chatter” to grow and dominate the new business software scene.
What do you think? Whatever the outcome, the next couple years of recovery are sure to be a wild ride.